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投稿时间:2025-02-19 修订日期:2025-03-08
投稿时间:2025-02-19 修订日期:2025-03-08
中文摘要: 针对工程中岩爆难以预测的问题,采用主成分分析法与决策树算法结合预测岩爆等级,选取工程埋深H(m)、最大切向应力σθ、单轴抗压强度σc、单轴拉应力σt、应力集中因子SCF、脆性指数B1、脆性指数B2和弹性能量指数Wet为预测指标,建立大样本数据库,建立PCA-DTC4.5岩爆预测模型。结果表明,模型预测准确率达95%,召回率为97.1%,精确率为95.7%,F1分数为0.964。将建好的模型对新城金矿工程开展验证与应用,预测效果与实际情况一致。得到一种高效准确的岩爆预测新方法。
Abstract:To address the issue of unpredictable rockbursts in engineering, a combined method of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Decision Tree Algorithm (DT) is used to predict rockburst levels. The selected predictive indicators include excavation depth H(m), maximum tangential stress (σθ), uniaxial compressive strength (σc), uniaxial tensile stress (σt), stress concentration factor (SCF), brittleness index B1, brittleness index B2, and elastic energy index (Wet). A large sample database is established to create a PCA-DT C4.5 rockburst prediction model. The results indicate that the model achieves an accuracy of 95%, a recall rate of 97.1%, a precision of 95.7%, and an F1 score of 0.964. The model is then validated and applied to the Xin Cheng gold mine project, and its predictive results align with actual conditions. This demonstrates a highly efficient and accurate new method for rockburst prediction.
keywords: Rockburst prediction Correlation analysis Decision tree Large sample Engineering application
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基金项目:陕西省教育厅服务地方专项计划项目(21JC009)、陕西铁路工程职业技术学院重点科研(KY2020-23 )、陕西省教育厅专项科研计划项目(22JK0329);
| 作者 | 单位 | |
| 杨宫印* | 陕西铁路工程职业技术学院 | 1449926255@qq.com |
| Author Name | Affiliation | |
| Yang Gongyin | Shaanxi Railway Institute | 1449926255@qq.com |
引用文本:
杨宫印.基于主成分分析法与决策树算法的岩爆预测方法与应用[J].有色金属(矿山部分),2026,78(1):101-108.
Yang Gongyin.Rockburst Prediction Method and Application Based on Data Dimensionality Reduction and Supervised Learning[J].NONFERROUS METALS(Mining Section),2026,78(1):101-108.
杨宫印.基于主成分分析法与决策树算法的岩爆预测方法与应用[J].有色金属(矿山部分),2026,78(1):101-108.
Yang Gongyin.Rockburst Prediction Method and Application Based on Data Dimensionality Reduction and Supervised Learning[J].NONFERROUS METALS(Mining Section),2026,78(1):101-108.

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